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Bitcoin (BTC) Can Fall Another 20% Due to Its Correlation With S&P 500

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Following the higher-than-expected CPI inflation data on Tuesday, Bitcoin and the broader crypto market witnessed a sharp fall. Currently, Bitcoin is trading at 8.4% over the last 24 hours holding just above its crucial support of $20,000.

Bitcoin’s price crash came alongside that of the S&P 500 dropping 4.5% and slipping under $4,000. As on-chain data provider Santiment explains:

After a brutal #CPI report on disappointing inflation news Tuesday, #Bitcoin fell alongside the #SP500‘s biggest daily drop in two years. The correlation between the sectors remains high, and #crypto typically thrives best with zero #equity reliance.

Courtesy: Santiment

As we know, Bitcoin has been showing a greater correlation with the S&P 500 here. As long as Bitcoin continues to follow the equity markets it is likely to stay in the bear’s grip going ahead.

Bitcoin (BTC) Can Correct Another 20%

If BTC continues to follow its correlation with S&P 500, another 20% drop to $16,000 is very much likely. Jurrien Timmer, director of global macro at Fidelity said:

If a 14x forward multiple is the correct valuation, then simple math will tell us that the fair value for the S&P 500 is 3200-3400 at an EPS of $230. This suggests that this bear market is not yet over.

Courtesy: Fidelity

Just as the news of U.S. CPI inflation came on Tuesday, the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index slid from 34/100 to 27/100. However, it has still not entered the “extreme fear” zone which shows some kind of investor resilience at this point.

Once again the news of inflation prevents Bitcoin from crossing its 200-day moving average (DMA), a zone of crucial resistance for Bitcoin this year.


Along with Bitcoin, several other altcoins have also corrected. A day ahead of the Merge event, Ethereum (ETH) has once again tanked 7% moving to $1,600 levels. As the Merge approaches closer, ETH has come under some selling pressure by following “sell the news” kind of momentum.

Bhushan is a FinTech enthusiast and holds a good flair in understanding financial markets. His interest in economics and finance draw his attention towards the new emerging Blockchain Technology and Cryptocurrency markets. He is continuously in a learning process and keeps himself motivated by sharing his acquired knowledge. In free time he reads thriller fictions novels and sometimes explore his culinary skills.

The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.

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